COVID-19: % daily new deaths rising versus % daily new cases.

COVID-19: % daily new deaths rising versus % daily new cases.

This chart shows the % increase in new cases and new deaths each day from COVID-19, taken from the WHO situation reports. The day numbers on the bottom axis are the report numbers (Report 1=21 Jan 2020).

I initially looked at this data to see if the two trends coupld be translated across to superimpose ne another. This would have given an idea of average time from diagnosis to death and could have perhaps been used to estimate case mortality death rates based on prior values for total cases and current deaths..

However, the two curves could not be superimposed because the % change in deaths, though downtrending against time, is trending up versus the % daily change in case numbers.

Both figures are cumulative.

Does this suggest that case mortality is going to be higher than currently thought?




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