Rest of World = Wuhan 2.0? Second very ominous sign for COVID-19 rest of world cases.

I decided to see if I could plot the % daily rates of change for the China epidemic versus the new rest of world epidemic of COVID-19. I recalled that the daily rate of change in China very early on (late January) was extremely high but declined steadily over time into mid-February and than even to the end of February, giving me the possibility of forecasting both the final number of China cases and the final number of deaths. The graph against time was an exponential decay for both:

I wanted to see if the rates of change would be starting to fall for the Rest of World cases. Since the rest of world expansion has come after the CHina situation has come more under control, I decided to plot the % daily rate of change against the cumulative case numbers instead of plotting them against time as above. The resulting chart shows that the rest of world rates of change have not started to slow even though they have reached a level around 6,000 where the Chinese rates of change had already started to slow (though from higher levels). The two graphs are looking like they are going to meet at 20% at the 10,000 case mark. There is no slowing of the rest of world rate. That is concerning. This hints at slow policy response and complacency because the rest of the world has had 6 weeks extra warning compared to China. Note the China daily rate of change is approaching 0-1% now.