South Korea = Wuhan 2.0? First very ominous sign for COVID-19 rest of world cases.
Here is the chart from the previous post detailing the exponential sections for South Korean and Rest of World outside China cases in late February versus the outbreak in Chna in late January. Note the similarities but slightly shallower slopes of the recent curves. Huwever these are all dengerous exponential rises! China cases were under 8,000 at the end of this section of the graph and they went in the next month to 80,000!
The exponents of the curves are showing the doubling time averaged over these short periods of time:
China (Jan 2020) 0.394 = doubles every 1.75 days approx.
Rest of World (Feb 2020) 0.271 = doubles every 3 days approx.
South Korea (Feb 2020) 0.330 = doubles about every 2.5 days.
The exponents of the curves are showing the doubling time averaged over these short periods of time:
China (Jan 2020) 0.394 = doubles every 1.75 days approx.
Rest of World (Feb 2020) 0.271 = doubles every 3 days approx.
South Korea (Feb 2020) 0.330 = doubles about every 2.5 days.
[An exponent of 0.70 would be a doubling in a single day. Divide each number into 0.7 to give doubling time]
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