UK under 4 weeks behind Italy (maybe 15 days) on similar exponential trend, slightly slower. Spain France and Germany 10 days behind.

UK 4 weeks or less behind Italy on similar exponential trend, slightly slower. Spain France and Germany 2 weeks behind Italy , well, 10 days. I actually think UK is 15 DAYS behind Italy.

Jeremy Hunt says there are likely 10,000+ cases in UK already.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3rmMh2pLKAc


The equations are for France and Germany - nearly the same. All are in exponential trends with Italy slowing slightly, perhaps. Maybe that is because of stringent quarantinges of some areas, then the whole country. As with China, cases are likely to increase a lot before they slow, maybe another 10 fold to  100,000. See last graph for that.

 South Korea on an S-curve - epidemic nearly over, unless it comes around again, which it will, unless they seal off their country to outside visitors for the rest of 2020:




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