14 April 2020 New forecasts for Italy

14 April 2020 New forecasts for Italy based on different interpretations of the actual daily WHO data trends:

Italy pessimistic cases 233,208
Italy optimistic cases 212,271
Italy log cases 242,202
Italy deaths pessimistic 29,209
Italy deaths optimistic 27,275

The pessimistic and optimistic lines are converging as might be expected as the forecasts become less volatile as new data points are added to the various trend lines.





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