Italy and UK case and death forecasts 20200408
Italy and UK case and death forecasts 20200408:
Charts:
Charts:
Lockdowns and their potential good effects on case numbers.
Effects of lockdowns vs. South Korea’s Strategy. 14+ days from lockdown to peak new daily cases? UK Sort of “Lockdown” PM’s speech 23 March pm. “Lockdown” starts 24 March. 16 days from then would be 9 April but look for any potential improvements 14 days from the speech, which would be 6 April. This would be in line with Italy's and Spain's experience of peak new cases around 14-16 days after lock down actually started, perhaps 17 days. See table and text below: *South Korea’s Strategy S Korea locked down some military bases but not whole regions, instead carrying out mass testing, especially in Daegu and Cheongdo and compulsory quarantining serious cases in hospital and less serious and suspected cases elsewhere (often at home). BBC report by Hyung Eun Kim, BBC Korean Service, Seoul: ‘Warning government signs are everywhere. They say: "Three ways to prevent further infection: wear a mask at all times ; wash your hands properly with soap fo...
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