Spain, Italy and UK.

Here are the curves for Italy and Spain. None for UK today. UK had a fall in the daily new cases today which is encouraging and off the previous trend.

 Current forecasts for Italy: 
Cumulative cases: 164,665 to 239,162.
Cumulative deaths: 30,364.

 Explanations on charts:

 Italy:

 Italy deaths:

Spain:
Forecast of total cumulative cases: 338,613 or fewer.

 UK (added later) - high uncertainty as of 5-7 of April. There "should" be a trend change" somewhere around now because it is more than two weeks into the lockdown (that is not really a lockdown, is it?) as per my previous article on this blog entitled 'Lockdowns'. However, I wonder if the dip in new cases was temporary and caused by lack of testing, because deaths have since trended up again. Also, Northampton and possibly Kettering General Hospitals sent their test swabs to Germany (2 days turnaround time) because the UK turnaround time at the UK public Health Labs was 4 days! I suspect we are running out of testing reagents and gear:

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